1. Kansas City Chiefs: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia - I still think they would be wiser to draft Lotulelei, but there's more of a chance they'll reach for a QB here. I was leaning towards Wilson as the top QB in recent weeks, but his senior bowl performance proved him completely unworthy of a first round selection, even in this weak QB class.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M - The offense hasn't been quite as bad as the defense this season, and there's no quarterback good enough worth taking #2 overall. Moore, on the other hand, is one of the best players in the entire draft. He's the kind of difference maker the Jags desperately need on defense.
3. Oakland Raiders: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah - The Raiders need an upgrade at just about every position on defense. They are aging and thin at DT, so this would be a wise choice. Lotulelei is a beast and one of the draft's top talents.
4. Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Joekel, OT, Texas A&M - No matter who the QB will be for this team opening day, they are going to need to bring in some protection for him. Kelly will probably want to bring in the top offensive lineman in the draft.
5. Detroit Lions: DeMarcus Milliner, CB, Alabama - I've been giving them a pass rusher here for months, but there is so much depth at the position that could find another quality rusher at the beginning of round two. Milliner is by far the best CB of a fairly thin class this year.
6. Cleveland Browns: Bjoern Werner, DE/OLB, Florida State - Werner is jut the kind of guy they need to put some pressure on the Quarterback. He should be able to fit in as an outside linebacker in their new 3-4 set.
7. Arizona Cardinals: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan - Fisher certainly hasn't proven enough to merit a top 10 selection, but he could easily rise to this spot if the Cardinals want a tackle bad enough. His senior bowl performances have certainly been impressive. Their second round QB won't stand a chance with the current offensive line.
8. Buffalo Bills: Mike Glennon, QB, N.C. State - If a QB goes first overall, I think the Bills may follow suit as well. Glennon obviously isn't worth a top 10 pick, but I think Buffalo would pull the trigger on him in this situation. His physical attributes will thrust him into the first round.
9. New York Jets: Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia - I was considering giving them a quarterback here, but it just makes much more sense to take an elite pass rusher here. There will be plenty of QB's available early in round two.
10. Tennessee Titans: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington - Trufant has been the best CB at the senior bowl practices, and has pushed himself into early first round consideration. He could easily rise into the top 10 like Gilmore did last season going in this spot to the Bills.
11. San Diego Chargers: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma - The Chargers desperately need help at tackle. Rivers, a rookie, whoever the quarterback is won't have much success without better blocking up front. Not many people have Johnson as a first rounder yet, but his stock is one the rise after handling Damontre Moore pretty handily in the final game of the season.
12. Miami Dolphins: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee - Whether Hartline is retained or not, Tannehill still needs an actual #1 receiving option. I think Patterson will be the consensus top receiver in the class by April.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State - Tampa needs a couple of corners added to their roster this season, and Banks will probably be available for them here at 13 overall. There has been plenty of people in the organization who have publicly said they would be happy with Banks as their first round selection.
14. Carolina Panthers: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri - The Panthers have ignored the DT position for too long. Having a guy like Richardson available to them will be too much to pass up.
15. New Orleans Saints: Kenny Vacarro, S, Texas - New Orleans' top needs are at rush linebacker and safety. With so much depth at pass rusher in this draft, they could easily choose to select the top safety of a pretty thin class this year. Vacarro could easily fly up the boards like Barron did last year.
16. St. Louis Rams: Chance Warmack, G, Alabama - The Rams need to find as much help for Bradford as they can in this draft, and Warmack is probably the most talented lineman in the class. He's only available here because of his position.